Key points:
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Bitcoin tries and fails to conquer $107,000 — an important local level for traders.
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BTC price forecasts retain the possibility of the market falling back under $100,000.
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Bitcoin bulls need a perfect storm to move toward all-time highs, analysis concludes.
Bitcoin (BTC) eyed its new weekend futures gap on Tuesday as talk turned to a BTC price “rejection.”
Bitcoin CME gap in focus as BTC price reverses
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed bulls failing to reclaim key support overnight.
Despite hitting new November highs of $107,465, BTC/USD was unable to retain those levels, instead threatening to print a double top structure on the hourly chart.
Among traders, the inability to reclaim $107,000 was now a key detail.
“$BTC got rejected from the $107,000-$108,000 resistance level,” crypto investor and entrepreneur Ted Pillows wrote in a post on X.
Pillows noted that the latest “gap” in CME Group’s Bitcoin futures market was still below the spot price.
“The next key support for Bitcoin is around $104,000 which also has a CME gap. Usually, Bitcoin bottoms on Tuesday, which means we could see a CME gap fill followed by a bounce,” he suggested.
Trader Daan Crypto Trades put Bitcoin’s failed resistance/support flip within the context of broader crypto market difficulties.
$BTC Rejecting from the key $107K area so far.
Similar to $ETH & The Total Crypto Market Cap rejecting from similar zones.
Bears are still in control until this level is flipped in my opinion. Still a lot of up & down moves intra-day, but the past few weeks have seen a pretty… pic.twitter.com/ewWmyN5LzO
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) November 11, 2025
Crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe, meanwhile, described the situation as “quite normal” for Bitcoin.
“The big question is now: Will $BTC hold at $103K? – Will $BTC hold at $100K and provide a double-bottom test?” he told X followers.
“If neither are true, then we’re looking at $90-93K for a potential test and then we’re not done yet.”
Analysis warns of “OG selling pressure”
Considering the outlook, trading company QCP Capital identified key conditions for a sustained BTC price rally.
Related: ‘Most hated bull run ever?’ 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bulls, it said, needed favorable macroeconomic conditions as a starting point for fighting off sellers higher up.
“A sustained spot recovery, supported by macro tailwinds and stabilizing ETF inflows, could rekindle demand,” it summarized in its latest “Asia Color” market update on Monday.
“However, rallies above $118k are likely to face renewed OG selling pressure. Until long-term holder supply eases, the most probable base case remains a range-bound BTC market in the medium term.”
QCP referred to ongoing distribution by long-term Bitcoin investors above $100,000.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.